<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[The Carolean]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Carolean is an independent publication dedicated to the analysis of American national security and politics. We educate the public on how we can achieve the right future by navigating the competing visions of global order that exist today.]]></description><link>https://www.thecarolean.org</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7CMt!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F514b2f1c-1bb5-4ab8-926f-e1163f0b2a41_256x256.png</url><title>The Carolean</title><link>https://www.thecarolean.org</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2026 00:16:22 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.thecarolean.org/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Rudolf Lyons]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[therevanchist@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[therevanchist@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[therevanchist@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[therevanchist@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[The Competing Nationalisms Of America]]></title><description><![CDATA[A splintered national identity has given rise to numerous camps, each competing for their own type of nation.]]></description><link>https://www.thecarolean.org/p/the-competing-nationalisms-of-america</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thecarolean.org/p/the-competing-nationalisms-of-america</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2026 16:54:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg" width="628" height="367" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:367,&quot;width&quot;:628,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:79153,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.therevanchist.com/i/208781773?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_Fa8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F33d7e83e-329e-485a-be40-27ff868ec0e1_628x367.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">The Flag of the Nativist &#8220;Know-Nothing Party,&#8221; Founded In Opposition To German and Irish Immigration To The U.S</figcaption></figure></div><p>American national identity has never been more fractured than it is today. Partisan identity, religious faith, ethnicity, and all sorts of new categories are being articulated as core to American identity. But at the core of this search is American nationalism: the belief that the American people constitute one nation whose interests take the highest priority of all in policy-making.</p><p>American nationalism has guided domestic politics since the Revolutionary War and subsequent national founding. Today, it takes a lesser role than a more moderate patriotism, but nationalism remains a crucial tenet of American identity and political activity. However, a significant problem has occurred that prevents the policy apparatus from establishing American nationalism as a driving force for national unity: Nobody really agrees on what it should look like.</p><h3>Civic Nationalism: Values, Laws, Citizenship</h3><p>Scholars most commonly agree that American identity is guided by <em>civic nationalism</em>: Nationalism that adheres to the traditional liberal values of freedom, egalitarianism, and individual rights. Historically, civic nationalism first emerged during the American Revolution, when European, African, Hispanic, and Native American ethnicities fought under the same banner for the same goal: To create a nation governed by the people and for the people. </p><p>Despite having the largest consensus, however, the creedal definition of American identity has been rejected by some today. For example, Americans who trace their ancestry back to the colonial era (some calling themselves &#8220;heritage Americans&#8221;) feel that the creedal definition unfairly rejects their families&#8217; long history in the country by declaring that a new arrival to the U.S is entirely as American as they are. </p><p>Although civic nationalism remains the dominant force today, with <strong>approximately 95% of Americans</strong> agreeing that <strong>being born to two <span>U.S. citizens makes you fully American</span></strong><span>, some dissenters have begun to formulate a new version of nationalism, one that now maintains a significant online presence&nbsp;</span>and is gradually being introduced into mainstream politics.</p><h3>White Nationalism: Race and Ethnicity</h3><p>Put simply, American <em>white nationalism</em> espouses three core beliefs:</p><ol><li><p>A White race exists, composed of all European ethnicities.</p></li><li><p>America is a White nation, and European ethnic identity is inseparable from American identity.</p></li><li><p>White people are being demographically replaced in America.</p></li></ol><p>Though White nationalism is still very fringe and mostly limited to an online presence (powered by controversial commentators like Nick Fuentes), the 2016 election saw White nationalist figures heavily integrate with Donald Trump&#8217;s presidential campaign. Many still align with Trumpist politics in the second administration, but a growing majority has separated due to disagreements over foreign policy (specifically, Israel).</p><p>Policy aside, however, White nationalism remains a growing force in the country primarily due to mass immigration. As more people (generally from non-European countries) migrate to the U.S and White birth rates continue to drop, supporters of White nationalism believe that a replacement of White people in America is occurring. This appears to be the guiding grievance of all supporters of this type of nationalism. Supporters often also cite the initial immigration policy of the U.S, which limited citizenship to &#8220;free white persons.&#8221;</p><p>However, opponents of White nationalism typically argue a few critical points. Firstly, all birth rates are dropping. While White nationalists consistently frame declining birth rates as a primarily European problem, that is only the case because European nations developed earlier, and thus experienced this phenomenon earlier. But birth rates and fertility across the <strong>entire</strong> U.S population appear to be dropping, just at different rates due to significant cultural differences (social conservatism and familialism are far more common in modern Eastern backgrounds, for instance, compared to modern Western ones). Second, immigration to the U.S has been handled completely differently from historical expectations. At one point, Founding Fathers like Benjamin Franklin were similarly concerned about German immigration to the U.S. Later, Irish immigration led to the creation of the nativist and White nationalist &#8220;Know Nothing Party.&#8221; Italian and Eastern European immigration incited the same fire in the Anglo-Saxon Protestant population. All of those migrant groups would be considered &#8220;White&#8221; and purely American by White nationalists today. Opponents point to this cognitive dissonance as another reason why the racial identity espoused by White nationalists makes no sense concerning American identity.</p><p>While ethnic and racial nationalism have long been considered fringe due to their small size and heavy exclusivism (cutting out half of the U.S population and thus reducing maximum support), another type of non-civic nationalism has taken conservative politics by storm. And this one maintains support from White, Black, Hispanic, and even Asian Americans.</p><h3>Christian Nationalism: Culture and Religion</h3><p><em>Christian nationalism</em> has a simple yet powerful meaning: America is a Christian nation, founded on Christian values, for Christians alone. Although some moderates tend to espouse similar beliefs, Christian nationalism often goes hand-in-hand with Christian supremacy (the belief in the superiority of the Christian religion). </p><p>Christian nationalism arrived in mainstream discourse at the same time as White nationalism during the 2016 election. Trump&#8217;s &#8220;non-denominational&#8221; stance tends to appeal to Christian nationalists as Christianity itself is split into numerous denominations, each with entirely different views on institutional rule. Supporters of Christian nationalism often point to the religions of the Founding Fathers (51 out of the 55 delegates who signed the Constitution were Christian) as proof of America being founded as a Christian nation. Regardless, Christian nationalists believe it either is or should be.</p><p>Though motivated primarily by Protestant coalitions, Christian nationalism has received plenty of support from Catholics and Orthodox Christians, making it an ecumenical phenomenon. Christian nationalism is both a uniting force among various ethnicities and denominations, espousing a multiethnic rejection of civic nationalism, and also a dividing one that pushes away non-Christian Americans. However, this form of nationalism often takes the shape of Christian-motivated governance rather than the total alienation of non-Christians. Still, a reduction of division does not mean none at all.</p><h3>The Revanchist Answer</h3><p>Answering the question of &#8220;which nationalism is right&#8221; is difficult because each form of nationalism has rights and wrongs. But the revanchist perspective requires us to evaluate each on the basis of national security, and the one that is most beneficial for the nation is the one that we should prioritize as American identity. We gave each form a rating out of 5 based on how much it either strengthened or weakened national security, with 5 being the strongest.</p><p><em><strong>Civic Nationalism (4/5):</strong></em> For national security, civic nationalism unites far more than it divides. While many may find its inclusivism to be far too tolerant of newcomers, civic nationalism also bases itself on the ideals of Americanism; the same ideals that have motivated American global power for decades. Domestically, civic nationalism unites the people by creating an identity that applies to all of the citizen population. Some may think this undermines heritage as a factor in American identity, but in terms of American global power, a united America trumps a divided one in every scenario. We subtracted one point, however, because civic nationalism is far too lax on cultural unity (often allowing multiculturalism) and often allows too many foreign influences to affect the population without any assimilation. Unity through values is significantly undermined if foreign cultures introduce opposing values.</p><p><em><strong>White Nationalism (2/5):</strong></em> White nationalism received a low score because, although it is intended to unite White Americans and establish a European ethnic identity at the core of American identity, it is fringe even among White people (estimated support is limited to 4-8%). So, not only does it exclude half of the American population that is not European, but also most of the White population. Fringe ideologies with such minimal support yet such a loud online presence often undermine national security in many ways. For one, it obviously divides the population, weakening America&#8217;s ability to act as a unit in global and domestic affairs. And second, it redefines American identity to be downstream from European identity, placing ethnicity above loyalty to the U.S. This type of identitarian dissent is not conducive to national unity or even national security, as it calls into question whether its supporters prefer American or European primacy. However, it receives two points because it is often tied to a rejection of multiculturalism and an appreciation for a common religion (Christianity), which we believe strengthens its position. We conclude our score of White nationalism at a 2/5.</p><p><em><strong>Christian Nationalism (3/5): </strong></em>If leveraged properly, Christian nationalism can be beneficial to American identity and national security. The American Constitution establishes freedom of religion in the land, and many believe Christian nationalism undermines this. However, while Christian supremacy certainly does, Christian nationalism, when used purely to maintain a common core identity, can enforce American cultural dominance over multiculturalism, thus strengthening national unity. This kind of nationalism is also not purely civic, as it promotes the Christian religion as core to American identity, but still bases itself on the core values that established the American nation (most of which trace their lineage back to the Protestant Reformation). Still, though it reaps many of the benefits of cultural and civic nationalism without most of the negatives, most Christian nationalism is technically opposed to America&#8217;s original message of &#8220;separation of church and state.&#8221; Additionally, it alienates 32 to 38% of America, which is not Christian. Considering the utility for national unity but taking into account its own version of exclusivism, we score Christian nationalism at a 3/5.</p><h3>Our Conclusion</h3><p>So, what should American nationalism look like? In essence, it looks like all of the above options.</p><p>At the heart of American nationalism should be <strong>exceptionalism</strong>: America is distinct and exemplary compared to all other nations. There has never been a nation that can accommodate so many different people yet unite them all under a single banner, and America can only be further strengthened by embracing its uniquely dynamic culture and Christian spirit.</p><p>So finally, we conclude that American nationalism should be a combination of cultural and religious nationalism that does not reject the creedal values of America&#8217;s founding while still valuing the European origin of its culture. Of all the strands of patriotism, this compound nationalism takes the center stage as the most productive for national security, unity, and strength.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thecarolean.org/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Subscribe to receive new posts and support the publication.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Why Did The Israeli Security Minister Storm A Mosque?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Israel's multi-decade rightward shift in politics is irreparably damaging their foreign relations.]]></description><link>https://www.thecarolean.org/p/why-did-the-israeli-security-minister</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thecarolean.org/p/why-did-the-israeli-security-minister</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 31 Jul 2026 14:22:32 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!v99A!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9566f3d2-9efa-4e2e-bd8e-8e2e9d17ecf6_1920x1280.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!v99A!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9566f3d2-9efa-4e2e-bd8e-8e2e9d17ecf6_1920x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!v99A!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9566f3d2-9efa-4e2e-bd8e-8e2e9d17ecf6_1920x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!v99A!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9566f3d2-9efa-4e2e-bd8e-8e2e9d17ecf6_1920x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!v99A!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9566f3d2-9efa-4e2e-bd8e-8e2e9d17ecf6_1920x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Itamar Ben-Gvir At A Rally (via &#1513;&#1497; &#1511;&#1504;&#1491;&#1500;&#1512;/Wikimedia Commons)</figcaption></figure></div><p>Israeli Minister of National Security Itamar Ben-Gvir joined thousands of Jewish ultranationalists who demonstrated in front of the Al-Aqsa Compound, one of the most culturally sensitive holy sites in Jerusalem, on Thursday. They were escorted by armed police as they prayed, sang the national anthem, and waved the Israeli flag, a direct challenge to the decades-old "agreement that restricts non-Muslim prayer at Islam&#8217;s third-holiest site.</p><p>What was intended to be a domestic show of political strength acts internationally as a strategic signal: Israel&#8217;s internal rightward pivot is creating growing friction with its primary security partners and regional allies.</p><h4>A Minister of Extremes</h4><p>Itamar Ben-Gvir, in particular, is a controversial yet influential figure. As the leader of the ultranationalist and Jewish supremacist Otzma Yehudit (&#8220;Jewish Power&#8221;) political party, Ben-Gvir&#8217;s appointment to the position of Minister of National Security by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu drew immediate criticism from domestic legal authorities and international diplomats. </p><p>Despite holding a 63% negative approval rating compared to a 32% positive one among the general populace, Ben-Gvir retains 58% positive approval among right-wing Israelis. His key constituency appears to be hardline religious nationalist voters who approve of his uncompromising stance and see it as a necessary counterweight to traditional establishment politics.</p><p>Ben-Gvir&#8217;s six Knesset seats also carry a disproportionate weight within Netanyahu&#8217;s narrow governing majority, but he cannot fire Ben-Gvir without collapsing his governing coalition, thus allowing disproportionate power to a highly radical coalition that would otherwise be marginalized. However, the rise of politicians like Itamar Ben-Gvir is only one reason behind the degeneration of Israel&#8217;s international appearance.</p><h4>The Police and the West Bank</h4><p>Ben-Gvir&#8217;s appearance alongside numerous hardliners at yesterday&#8217;s Tisha B&#8217;Av events at the Al-Aqsa/Haram al-Sharif was not just as a politician. As the Minister of National Security, Ben-Gvir is also in charge of the Israel Police. He used that power to replace district commanders in the Jerusalem Police District with ideological allies, changing the police&#8217;s duty from preventing non-Muslim prayer to protecting it.</p><p>This shift marks one of many institutional &#8220;corrections&#8221; made by the Netanyahu government toward a further right shift in domestic politics, drawing international concerns over the treatment of non-Jewish minorities. However, aside from the usual risks that come with Ben-Gvir&#8217;s majoritarian beliefs, Netanyahu&#8217;s courting of such radical figures risks alienating Israel&#8217;s already-shaky regional relations.</p><h4>Alliances In Jeopardy</h4><p>Firstly, the rising normalization of Jewish ultranationalism places Israel in direct opposition to the ideas of its Muslim neighbors, many of which already carry historical concerns over the idea of a Jewish state.</p><p><strong>1994 Israel-Jordan Peace Treaty</strong></p><p>The most immediately fragile relationship is the 1994 Israel-Jordan Peace Treaty (and some earlier historical agreements). Under this treaty, King Abdullah II&#8217;s Hashemite dynasty holds official custodianship over Jerusalem&#8217;s Islamic and Christian holy sites (via the Jordanian Waqf). But ultranationalist figures like Ben-Gvir outright advocate for the assertion of unilateral Israeli authority over the Temple Mount/Haram Al-Sharif through the use of police forces to escort Jewish prayer groups. This undermines Waqf authority and operationally threatens Jordanian custodianship. Additionally, because Jordan&#8217;s population is majority Palestinian, if the King is perceived as failing to protect Islam&#8217;s holy sites from the Israelis, it could trigger massive domestic unrest in the nation. So, Amman is forced to adopt a hostile diplomatic stance, which stalls security cooperation and constantly threatens to freeze or downgrade the peace treaty to preserve internal stability.</p><p><strong>The Abraham Accords</strong></p><p>Another very critical alliance that is under threat is the Abraham Accords, which is a series of historical agreements between Gulf signatories, primarily for technology access, defense trade, and a shared counter-Iran interest. These agreements were premised on the idea that Arab states could decouple their economic and security normalization with Israel from the unresolved Palestine dispute. However, the implicit condition was that Israel would avoid blatant provocations at holy sites or mass West Bank annexations. The disruptions perpetrated by Ben-Gvir and his compatriots make normalization politically toxic for Gulf leaders in the court of Arab public opinion. While the treaties likely won&#8217;t be significantly altered overnight, existing signatories like the UAE and Bahrain could freeze high-level diplomatic visits, slow down joint defense projects, and issue strong public condemnations. Then, prospective partners like Saudi Arabia, who have maintained that Palestinian statehood is a prerequisite for formal normalization, would be effectively blocked from accepting any concessions from Israel that would otherwise be needed to sell a normalization deal domestically.</p><p><strong>U.S-Israel Bipartisan Alignment</strong></p><p>The U.S expects Israel to act as a stable and predictable regional partner. Washington provides Israel with significant military aid and diplomatic defense at the UN, but such protection relies on shared strategic alignment and domestic political consensus, the latter of which is already seeing major structural shifts. The American diplomatic preference for big-picture initiatives (such as countering Iran) is averse to settling localized problems in Jerusalem.</p><p>When Israeli coalition partners provoke crises at significant friction points like Al-Aqsa, the U.S State Department is compelled to issue reprimands, which alienates domestic political constituencies in the U.S and distracts from broader diplomatic objectives. The erosion of bipartisan support for Israel in Washington is already accelerating due to a number of factors, and the constant far-right provocations only push this shift further.</p><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>With American domestic support for relations with Israel already in severe decline, the latter cannot afford to continue tolerating the aggravations of ultranationalist figures like Itamar Ben-Gvir. Such incitements portray Israel as a liability that threatens U.S regional strategy and force readiness, rather than the strong ally that the foreign policy apparatus has long considered it to be.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thecarolean.org/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Subscribe to receive new posts and support the publication.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Why Did The Houthis Allow Chinese Ships To Pass Through The Red Sea?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Could the safe passage of Chinese ships through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait during the ongoing Iran war spark a shift in economic preferences?]]></description><link>https://www.thecarolean.org/p/why-did-the-houthis-allow-chinese</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thecarolean.org/p/why-did-the-houthis-allow-chinese</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 25 Jul 2026 18:59:58 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg" width="604" height="704.509375" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1493,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:604,&quot;bytes&quot;:315481,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.therevanchist.com/i/208477912?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LgSq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe7a1875e-0f0e-4214-920b-db85db259b5e_1280x1493.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">The Critical Bab el-Mandeb Strait (via NASA/Wikimedia Commons)</figcaption></figure></div><p>Yemeni Houthis have entered the Iran conflict, vowing to blockade the Red Sea and attack Saudi Arabia. A total blockade has yet to be achieved, but the Houthis have successfully launched attacks on the Saudi oil tankers <em>Rubymar</em> and <em>Tutor</em> (Liberian-flagged), as well as various ports and military targets. Though these attacks drew coalition retaliation against Hodeidah and Kamaran Island, the opening of a new front in an already costly and difficult war only pushes the United States into deeper economic and international chaos.</p><p>But a new development indicates a much more long-term and dangerous problem for U.S global primacy: Chinese ships are being uniquely allowed to pass through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.</p><h4>Common Anti-Americanism</h4><p>Since its founding, the Houthi movement has shared a strong anti-American sentiment with various other international players, China later becoming one of them. Though it won&#8217;t explicitly call itself so, American protection of Taiwan and alliances with Japan and South Korea (not to mention The Quad, a coalition maintained to counter Chinese influence in the Indo-Pacific) have caused deep rifts in U.S-China relations, and the trade war between the two during Donald Trump&#8217;s first presidency did not help.</p><p>The common enemy, however, has led to expected alliances. The Iranian government has long backed the Houthis to counter the influence of pro-Western Saudi Arabia, and through Iranian membership in BRICS and flourishing diplomacy with China (on the grounds of countering American influence), Iran-China relations have allowed for a direct pathway to Chinese support for the Houthis. It should be noted that the Chinese explicitly deny backing the group, but U.S intelligence reports consistently find Chinese indirect and tactical support, especially through dual-use drone components that the Houthis use for warfare.</p><p>The common anti-Americanism between China and the Houthis has led to a very visible relationship that we are now seeing China reap the benefits of during this war. While American ships are being targeted in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a critical passageway for oil shipping, Chinese ships are being allowed to pass through. Aside from preserving Chinese supply chains while disrupting American ones, imbalancing the two competing economies and tipping the scales in favor of China, there is the problem of <strong>visibility.</strong></p><h4>The Chinese Image</h4><p>Allowing Chinese ships to pass through a warzone where American ships are being attacked is not a first for this war. Earlier in the war, when Iran attempted to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, an Aframax-class oil tanker named <em>Karachi</em> carrying Das crude from Abu Dhabi to Pakistan was given special passage through the guarded region after its shipment was settled in Chinese yuan instead of the typical U.S dollar. While this instance does not signal a total collapse of the petrodollar, it does indicate a significant erosion in trust. The new problem is where that trust is going.</p><p>China has now shown that yuan payments can rival the dollar, its ships can pass through warzones incited by the U.S, and that it is not causing active military conflicts worldwide nearly at the same rate as its main rival. When placing all these developments together, a new picture begins to emerge on the world stage. Is China standing where the United States once stood? If so, where is the U.S now?</p><p>Beijing has successfully created the image that it is a far more reliable economic partner and anchor for global peace than the United States, and although no major powers have moved in favor of this image just yet, it is evident that numerous smaller nations are enchanted by the idea of a new world order. One that is not held back (in their view) by modern American volatility.</p><p>China appears to be successfully positioning itself as the prime alternative to the U.S as the latter spends itself into oblivion. But with Washington becoming more and more unpredictable on the world stage, will it even be able to deter such a threat?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thecarolean.org/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Subscribe to receive new posts and support the publication.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What Does It Mean For Saudi Arabia To Have Nukes?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Could the potential deal ignite an arms race in the Middle East?]]></description><link>https://www.thecarolean.org/p/what-does-it-mean-for-saudi-arabia</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thecarolean.org/p/what-does-it-mean-for-saudi-arabia</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 24 Jul 2026 01:56:36 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg" width="455" height="808.75" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:2588,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:455,&quot;bytes&quot;:856672,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.therevanchist.com/i/208202600?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7jzc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7ce0985e-0cd4-4ad9-b556-1f98a696f9f8_3376x6000.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">The Flag of Saudi Arabia</figcaption></figure></div><p>With President Trump hinting at a deal that may allow Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium, many questions have arisen regarding the latter&#8217;s nuclear capabilities in general. The one that interests us most is: If Saudi Arabia advances to full-blown nuclear production in the near future, what does it mean for the Middle East?</p><h4>A Middle Eastern Arms Race</h4><p>For starters, it means conflict. Israel, being the main Western-aligned (though they have recently been pursuing a level of strategic autonomy) nation in the Middle East, would not take well to a Muslim nation acquiring nuclear weaponry. Between Iran, Israel, and Saudi Arabia, this deal would cause the world&#8217;s first three-way nuclear standoff.</p><p>It should be noted that Saudi Arabia financed Pakistan&#8217;s nuclear program in the 1980s and 1990s,  and this resulted in an implicit agreement that if Riyadh ever needed off-the-shelf warheads, Islamabad would come to its aid. Combining the American-built domestic enrichment with Pakistani foreign backup effectively gives Saudi Arabia a fast pass to nuclear armament.</p><p>Israel would not be the only nation aggravated by such a change, however. Turkey and Egypt will not sit idly by while their two main rivals, Iran and Saudi Arabia, go nuclear. A nuclear Saudi Arabia permanently diminishes global non-proliferation.</p><h4>A Major Trap For U.S Foreign Policy</h4><p>Historically, Washington insists on the &#8220;Gold Standard&#8221; when it helps a foreign nation build civilian nuclear infrastructure (a Section 123 agreement), meaning that the host nation agrees not to enrich uranium or reprocess spent fuel domestically. However, giving Riyadh a pathway to enrich its own uranium severely blurs the line between &#8220;peaceful power grid&#8221; and &#8220;breakout weapons capacity.&#8221; This marks the end of the &#8220;123 Gold Standard&#8221; that America has upheld since signing with the UAE in 2009.</p><p>More importantly, though, is the major clash of sovereign and commercial interests. Saudi Arabia was heavily pushed by American nuclear energy titans like Westinghouse, who were eager to capture multi-billion-dollar contracts before China or Russia signed the deal in their place. But by supplying the tech, the U.S unknowingly creates a moral hazard. Washington becomes the ultimate security guarantor of a now-nuclear absolute monarchy, which entangles American military power even deeper into Gulf security right as it becomes crucial to pivot to the Indo-Pacific.</p><h4>Conclusion</h4><p>Many regional divisions will be stirred, and U.S involvement in arming a nation with nuclear capabilities is sure to be met with international pushback. Giving nuclear potential to yet another volatile regional power in conflict with others can only increase the odds of a nuclear war.</p><p>The U.S is already under fire across most of the world over the Iran war, and America has not done itself any favors in attempting to move forward with such a non-trivial deal in the middle of global economic turmoil. Washington can no longer act as though it is diplomatically immortal post-Pax Americana, and with the Chinese threat growing, it has never been more important for the United States to be a champion of peace.</p><p>Becoming such a champion after so much international provocation, however, will require significant military de-escalation and diplomatic resurgence. Actions that the U.S government does not seem capable of taking at this moment.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thecarolean.org/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Subscribe to receive new posts and support the publication.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Iran Conflict Is A Major Blow To America's Indo-Pacific Defense]]></title><description><![CDATA[Could the Iran war cost the U.S much more than just money?]]></description><link>https://www.thecarolean.org/p/the-iran-conflict-is-a-major-blow</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thecarolean.org/p/the-iran-conflict-is-a-major-blow</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 22 Jul 2026 14:00:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg" width="445" height="575.8104395604396" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1884,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:445,&quot;bytes&quot;:1731853,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.therevanchist.com/i/208061617?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!raIz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8968ac06-ed22-401a-8e63-36f151ca4aca_3840x4969.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth</figcaption></figure></div><p>With the United States entering a new phase in the war against Iran, the realities of modern military conflict are beginning to slam on the doors of the Pentagon.</p><p>On Tuesday, July 21, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth testified before the Senate Appropriations Committee to request an additional $67 billion to fund the war in Iran, and after being grilled and called a &#8220;failure&#8221; by Senator Gary Peters (D-MI), it became clear that the war has caused serious damage to the U.S&#8217;s defense budget.</p><p>In fact, the Pentagon&#8217;s funding for ongoing Navy and Air Force operations is projected to run out by the end of July, and critical operations budgets are expected to run out similarly by mid-August. The cost of the Iran war is rising, the Pentagon is running out of money, and a hidden problem is emerging: Should a conflict break out in the Indo-Pacific, will the U.S be able to afford it?</p><p>The accelerating financial strain on the Pentagon is detrimental to U.S operations in the Middle East, but the Indo-Pacific requires similar military focus to counter China. According to the WSJ, the U.S already diverted significant military assets from the Indo-Pacific to strengthen operations at the start of the war. Specifically, thousands of Marines, including approximately 2,500 Marines from the Okinawa-based 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit in Japan, the amphibious assault ship USS <em>Tripoli, </em>the USS <em>Abraham Lincoln</em> Carrier Strike Group, and Patriot missile batteries and high-end interceptors.</p><p>This massive diversion of military assets to the Middle East from the Indo-Pacific significantly weakens the counter-China presence of the United States. Now, coupled with the financial strain on the Pentagon and depleting funds, the American capability to deter Chinese aggression is looking bleak. </p><p>With Chinese irredentism still unyielding, will the U.S be able to maintain its role as a protector of Asia? Or will it simply be too expensive?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thecarolean.org/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Subscribe to receive new posts and support the publication.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Could The Japanese Prime Minister's Far-Right Connections Be A Problem For America?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Will Japanese ultranationalism help or harm U.S-Japan relations?]]></description><link>https://www.thecarolean.org/p/could-the-japanese-prime-ministers</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thecarolean.org/p/could-the-japanese-prime-ministers</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 21:53:31 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:222842,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.therevanchist.com/i/207834343?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZdiY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fce385ab0-7a5e-481d-affa-bf07b976d828_1920x1280.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Sanae Takaichi Giving A Speech (via Cabinet Public Affairs Office/Wikimedia Commons)</figcaption></figure></div><p>The deep post-WWII ties between the U.S and Japan have proven to be one of the strongest American diplomatic relationships in the modern day, and a powerful counterweight to Chinese influence in the Indo-Pacific. But a growing frustration with U.S involvement in Japanese politics is beginning to demonstrate that such ties may not have been unbreakable at all. Arguably, one of the groups leading this shift is Nippon Kaigi.</p><p>Nippon Kaigi, meaning &#8220;Japan Conference,&#8221; is a far-right ultranationalist lobbying group that is considered to be one of the most powerful. Of all the politicians to maintain membership in such a group, the most significant is Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. Though Japan maintains democratic freedom of association, and Japanese nationalism is ingrained in the nation&#8217;s recent history, such an extreme association could prove problematic for relations with the U.S.</p><p>Despite the pro-American foundation of Japan&#8217;s current conservative establishment, the previous premiership of now-deceased Shinzo Abe (also a member of Nippon Kaigi) began a shift toward &#8220;strategic autonomy&#8221; that is being carried on by Takaichi, one of his closest proteg&#232;s. Both politicians led the moderate right-wing Liberal Democratic Party, but Takaichi&#8217;s connection to the even more extreme Nippon Kaigi begs the question: Will Takaichi&#8217;s ultranationalism and dedication to Japanese autonomy lead to a decline in relations with the U.S?</p><p>After all, the pro-American establishment in Japan was built by Americans themselves after the former fell to the latter in WWII (and lived under American military occupation for nearly seven years). Japanese ultranationalism is mechanically incompatible with the current establishment, and though Nippon Kaigi is not explicitly anti-American (it would be organizational suicide to be so), the natural consequence of their ideology is structural reform to the constitution and a reversal of the pacifist nature of Japanese defense. It would strike a blow to Washington&#8217;s power base and would allow a window of opportunity for China to evade Japanese defenses should a conflict over Taiwan break out.</p><p>Takaichi&#8217;s own policies have already begun to reflect such a shift. Her administration has shifted defense spending to 2% of the GDP and is actively working to transform the Self-Defense Forces into a fully-fledged military. Recent reports also indicate that Japan is constructing a new domestic intelligence agency to centralize intelligence sharing and further protect local supply chains. All signs point to the exact autonomy that Nippon Kaigi wishes Japan to regain, and the Takaichi administration will only accelerate this change.</p><p><em><strong>The Isolationist Perspective:</strong></em> This shift is nothing but positive. Japanese relations with America are virtually unbreakable in the face of Chinese aggression, which both nations wish to counter. Additionally, should Tokyo consolidate greater control over its defense and security, it would take a burden off of the United States and allow it to focus on domestic affairs. In sum, there is an argument to be heard that greater Japanese autonomy could prove to be beneficial for both the American economy and military-industrial complex. </p><p><em><strong>The Interventionist Perspective:</strong></em> Japanese &#8220;strategic autonomy&#8221; serves not just to improve their own self-determination, but also isolates the U.S in the Indo-Pacific. With nations like India and South Korea (both important opposition to China) also pursuing similar strategic autonomy policies, a lack of direct U.S involvement in deterrence policies could prove to be problematic if a conflict ever broke out. Washington&#8217;s role in shutting down such a conflict and maintaining primacy in the Indo-Pacific would diminish in the face of numerous &#8220;autonomous actors,&#8221; and previous American military dominance would be slightly reduced to diplomatic garden-tending.</p><p>So, could Sanae Takaichi&#8217;s Nippon Kaigi membership signal a future decline in U.S-Japan relations? At the moment, it&#8217;s unlikely. A decline in American <em>dominance</em> is sure to occur, but the relationship between the two Western-aligned nations is very unlikely to falter as long as China maintains its own opposition to the Global North. The American-Japanese alliance seemingly will not fall anytime soon, and though Takaichi hopes to achieve Japanese military independence, Washington will retain numerous opportunities to reap economic benefits from their growing self-determination.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thecarolean.org/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Subscribe to receive new posts and support the publication.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[North Korean Foreign Minster Meets With Russian President In Sudden Diplomatic Talks]]></title><description><![CDATA[An unexpected meeting has sparked much discussion about the meaning of it all.]]></description><link>https://www.thecarolean.org/p/north-korean-foreign-minster-meets</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thecarolean.org/p/north-korean-foreign-minster-meets</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[The Carolean Staff]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 20:42:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg" width="1300" height="975" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:975,&quot;width&quot;:1300,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:158133,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.therevanchist.com/i/207830079?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fUEd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e055735-6feb-495a-bd93-d20509ac5e53_1300x975.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg aria-hidden="true" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Russia-China-North Korea Relations Remain Strong Today (via Senkaku Islands/Wikimedia Commons)</figcaption></figure></div><p>A meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui took place in Moscow on Sunday, July 19, 2026. The Russian President thanked Pyongyang for their support in his war against Ukraine in the latest push for diplomacy between the two nations, Russian state media reported.</p><p>The meeting appears to have been held despite no specific occasion and has raised speculation that Choe may be coordinating a possible visit to Russia by North Korean Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un. North Korean state media reported that she left for Russia on Saturday at the behest of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, but has not yet commented on the purpose of her visit.</p><p>In 2024, under a mutual defense pact, North Korean soldiers helped Russian forces repel a Ukrainian invasion into its western Kursk region, significantly bolstering relations between the two. Kim Jong Un, in recent years, has chosen to make Russia a high priority of North Korean foreign policy, sending thousands of soldiers and a hefty supply of weaponry to support Putin&#8217;s war in Ukraine (possibly in exchange for economic or technological aid).</p><p>Since the collapse of nuclear diplomacy between Kim and the U.S (during the first Trump administration in 2019), he has used Russia&#8217;s war on Ukraine as a diversion to accelerate the advancement of the North Korean nuclear weapons program, furthering their increasingly aggressive posturing toward the Western-aligned South Korea.</p><p>It should be noted that the Russian Foreign Minister invited his North Korean counterpart as Ukrainian strikes are crippling Russia&#8217;s oil refineries and the long-stagnant war appears to tip further in the latter&#8217;s favor, but it is unclear whether this meeting occurred because of recent losses or in the interest of long-term relations.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.thecarolean.org/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Subscribe to receive new posts and support the publication.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>